Thursday, July 31, 2008

Cloak and ... Ski?

While you can’t purchase a Nautique today with audio volume tied to boat speed, that doesn’t mean the fine folks at Correct Craft don’t have the technology. In this case the audio coming out of the system isn’t Mute Math or U2 but the sound of an engine. Why the sound of an engine? Well, maybe because there’s no engine under that engine cover to make the noise for real?

The dead give away though is if you look close when the boat is ‘idling’ there are no exhaust bubbles.

This has been another piece of fiction from the fine folks at Crusty Logic

Tuesday, July 29, 2008

Ski Nautique - Tesla Edition

Blogs are a LOT of work! My hat's off to all those who blog on a regular basis. Now that I'm back from vacation...

If Correct Craft had been having conversations with Tesla, makers of the Tesla electric powered sports car, for the past 18 to 20 months and perhaps had begun development on an electric powered tow boat, a modified 206 perhaps, what kinds of things might we be hearing?

That despite their desire to fit the motor completely under the floor thus completely eliminating the engine hump in the middle, they had been unable to do so. An 8” hump is almost worse and is more dangerous than the full engine hump. Well, apparently the motor actually does fit but there’s a heat problem. Fortunately nothing a water cooling jacket wasn’t able to fix.

Decisions, decisions… Fewer batteries means a lighter boat and a lighter boat means a better wake for slalom. Even a better wake than any slalom boat ever. But fewer batteries also means less time on the water between charges. OK, this one wasn’t that difficult – let the customer decide. 3 battery compartments on each side with optional ballast tanks for any that aren’t used. Those looking for the absolute best wake only put batteries in one on each side, others can choose to fill 4 compartments or all 6. One major advantage is that this is all easily configured by most dealers so the customer can choose and the dealer can deliver.

OK, the battery thing wasn’t really all that simple because ideally each configuration actually calls for slight modifications to the hull design for optimum performance and this isn’t something that hydro-gates or similar levers can accomplish. But 90% of the benefit can be achieved with 2 small modifications to the hull design and thanks to modern epoxies this can also be done by dealers via inserts that are cemented in place depending on battery configuration.

The final major issue is the fun one. The boat is over-powered. In initial trials drivers had to be very careful not to rip the rope out of people’s hands. Well, nothing that some software changes for a more ‘normal’ torque curve couldn’t solve.

And speaking of software defined torque curves, one unexpected benefit is the ability to make quick micro-adjustments to speed not possible with gas powered engines. Fine tuning with Zero-Off speed control promises the smoothest ride and pull ever. And yes, there is the potential that users will be able to select from a handful of curves on the fly to suit their own personal tastes.

So, when will we see this wonderful boat? Not anytime soon. Firstly, the above is all fiction anyway. Second, Correct Craft have a reputation to uphold and developing this boat to their high quality standards will take a bit more fine-tuning and then getting all of the appropriate approvals will take some time beyond that. BUT, once it does become available expect the best towboat ever for your $110,000.

Friday, July 4, 2008

Happy 4th of July!

Reimposing a national 55mph speed limit

Sen John Warner has asked the Energy Department to look in to what the impact would be of re-imposing a national speed limit. Some very quick comments:

- With newer cars the savings are much less than they were in 1974 when this was done the first time. Most cars get maximum miles per gallon throughout a range of about 35 to 65 and then see a mileage decrease as you drive faster than this range. Graph here. For most current vehicles the improvement in gas mileage is negligible. Much greater savings can be had with purchasing more fuel efficient cars, driving slightly less (eg, combining errands, walking...), driving more consistent speeds, etc.

- Many say that the national speed limit saved lives. Reality? Likely not. Fatalities from car crashes were declining rapidly in the years leading up to the 55mph national speed limit and actually leveled off a couple of years later. The decline is attributed to huge improvements in car safety features such as seat belts, anti-lock brakes, and tires as well as more people using seat belts. Many portions of the US also implemented 'keep right except to pass' laws for multi-lane roads.

More later...

Tuesday, June 24, 2008

Why Not An Electric Wakeboard Boat ?

Electric cars are starting to pop up. Everything from minimalist Zaps to sporty Tesla’s to Porsche conversions. With petrol now over $4/gallon in the US and higher elsewhere the number of electric cars is increasing rapidly. While there are many great benefits to electric cars, one major drawback that remains is how far they can go on a charge and what do you do when you run out of juice and need to recharge? Plug in for hours? Swap batteries? They’re starting to work great around town, but we have some work to do before we can reliably use them for highway trips.

Why not electric boats?

I assume one major obstacle is the small issue of electricity and water not mixing so well. This can be worked out though. In fact, the Navy powers many of their boats with electricity without water problems. Of course they also have onboard nuclear reactors to generate electricity and I’m not sure we’re far enough along with that for consumer use. However, battery and motor technology has advanced enough to make this a viable alternative and I’m sure boat builders can design a system to keep the batteries and motor both dry and adequately ventilated.

But oy vey, the advantages…

The batteries and motor are overall lighter than the equivalent power and run-time of 30 gallons of petrol and a marine engine. An electrical drive system is also comprised of many smaller components that can more easily be distributed around a hull for optimal weight distribution. It’d be possible to produce a center weighted slalom tow boat without a mid engine. Everything would be below deck and could even be a bit more forward than venerable towboats such as the Nautique 196 resulting in an even smoother wake. This also leaves room for massive ballasting to change the boats characteristics for wakeboarding or surfing.

Yes, the holy grail of perfect slalom, perfect wakeboard, and perfect surf from one boat is within reach.

Speaking of surfing, there’d be no CO fumes. Teak surfing anyone? This would not only be more environmentally friendly, but more pleasant for everyone when idling. We’d also be able to forego starting/killing the engine every time a skier or rider is down.

Unlike a car on a roadtrip, an electrical boat system would in most cases be able to tow people for an entire day on a single charge. No more trips to the marina or hauling cans when out of petrol. Of course some of us would miss catching up on the latest lake gossip at the marina, but we can still stop in for other purposes. So, plug it in overnight and it’s ready for the next day.

Electric drive is also quiet and smooth. These are both kind of strange in a car, but would be heaven in a boat. Imagine no more vibration. For Malibu fans out there I’m sure a subwoofer and transducer system can add the noise and vibration back in. Ever thought about what the engine vibration does to prop efficiency? And for those concerned about electrics ability to pull them up without dragging forever consider this, the Tesla roadster does 0-60 in 3.7 seconds.

Finally there’s cost. A very quick calculation gives us $90 for a day of petrol or $22 for a day of electricity. That’s nothing to sneeze at. Theoretically maintenance will be less as well, though I’m not sure I’d want to speculate until we’ve seen a ton more real data on battery/motor life.

So there you have it. I’m sure there are negatives that I haven’t thought of, but perhaps there are more positives as well.

Edit 2008.07.01: Boesch is selling this boat

Monday, June 23, 2008

Texas authorities aren't alone in incompetence...

Authorities in the tundra of Minnesota bungled one pretty well. Story Here.

I have no clue if this was a bungled case, a wrong prosecution, or, very likely a bit of both. It appears more than reasonable that the parents are innocent (though now victims of the state), the uncle guilty (though got away because the state bungled it), and the daughter a victim several times over (by everyone).

Sunday, June 22, 2008

$4 Gas: Much Ado About Nothing ?

We're all atwitter about gas costing $4/gallon. The major network news shows this morning have all covered it. They and much of the rest of the media are hyping it as this awful terrible thing that will ruin our country. President Bush MUST open up the strategic petrol reserves to help bring prices down. We MUST increase production from our own fields.

Really?

In 1976 gas was about $1/gallon. Based on standard US inflation it should now be about $3.85/gallon. $4/gallon or even $5/gallon is well within a reasonable tolerance of inflation. Just for comparison, an in-call escort has risen at almost twice the rate of inflation - in 1976 she charged $40/hr yet today she gets $300/hr. Gas would be $7.22/gallon at that rate.

If only our Federal Government Spending had increased the same as gas. In 1976 we spent $371 billion. In 2007 we spent $2.8 trillion. If gas had risen as fast as our politicians spending it would now be almost $10/gallon.

Friday, June 20, 2008

RIP: TV Schedules, Networks, and TIVO.

It’s interesting how quickly we’re seeing the demise of the TV schedule and of traditional channelized broadcasting. I’m not a big TV person, but what little I do watch has migrated from catching a show when it’s broadcast on a cable channel to watching it over the internet when I want. Tuesday night at 9p is no longer the show time, but the time the newest episode is released. I’m more likely to watch it a day or two later than at 9p on Tuesday. And with programming available anytime from producers websites I only need my TIVO for those very few that are not web available.

I’d guess that in the very near future the only channelized TV remaining will be time relevant programming, primarily news channels and maybe live coverage of things like the US Senate.

Why Drilling Might Not Be Such A Good Idea.

There are a lot of good options on both sides of this one. I’m a bit of an environmentalist, but I’m also a pragmatist. If it makes sense to drill on-shore or off I don’t think it’s that huge of an issue as long as proper precautions are taken. There is though one very good reason I might recommend not drilling – Security.

We only have about 3% of global oil reserves. That’s not very much. What would happen if we used up ours and the folks controlling the bulk of the rest decided to wage war against us and started by cutting off our oil supplies? We’d be crippled.

The increase in gas prices is inconvenient. But that’s all it is. We might drive a bit less. We’ll plan errand runs better instead of multiple trips. We might choose a more fuel-efficient car or maybe even invest in a scooter. Maybe we won’t fly to Disneyworld for vacation. People did without gas fueled conveniences for many many hundreds of years.

There may even be some advantages. We’ve become a nation of ugly obese slobs. Maybe we’ll rent fewer movies and walk or bike more.

Saturday, June 14, 2008

FLDS: Financial Costs

The Deseret News today published this article stating that the costs to the State of Texas thus far are about $14 million. That's a lot of money to most of us, just not to many politicians and law enforcement.

The article did say that the State of Texas does expect the costs to rise as more invoices come in, as more is done on the case, and they do expect to pay out several million dollars to FLDS and others in litigation.

What costs may not be included?

- Costs for caring for children already in foster care who were dislocated to make room for the FLDS children.

- Opportunity costs of Texas Government employees being side-tracked to work on this case instead of their normal jobs. What of their work didn't get done? What children truly in need of protection didn't get it? What crimes were committed because so many in law enforcement were at the YFZ ranch or working on other aspects of this case? What children already in CPS' care didn't get the care they needed because CPS was consumed with the FLDS raid?

- Opportunity costs of having so many attorneys doing pro-bono work for FLDS children and families? What work of theirs didn't get done in the meantime? What was the cost to their families of their being away from home to work on this?

- Costs to FLDS families in gas, hotel, and food as they drove all over Texas to visit their children?

More?

Pawlenty: No New Taxes?

I’ve generally been a supporter of Tim Pawlenty. This one kinda stinks though. This one can’t be called a fee, it’s clearly a tax, no way around that one. Perhaps they’ll call it an Old Tax since its on old money? Or maybe they can call it a Re-Clarification of a tax?

Governor Pawlenty recently signed New legislation regarding taxes on deferred compensation. Prior to this legislation the state taxed deferred compensation when it was paid. If you worked in Minnesota in 2005 you’d pay taxes to the State of Minnesota on the wages that you earned and were paid in that year. If as part of your pay you were also promised some stock options by your company and told that you could collect on that promise at some point in the future you might well decide to wait until after you retire to hold them to that promise. This way you’ll have that little bit of income for retirement and you may pay lower taxes as well since your overall income will likely be lower.

If you chose to move to a retirement community in another state you got an extra benefit. Under current law you’re responsible to pay taxes on this income when it is paid to you and to the state you currently reside when it’s paid. If you’d retired to any of the multitude of states with lower taxes than Minnesota you gained some benefit in lower taxes. If you retired to one of the states like Florida who have NO state income tax you got a big benefit in that, like other residents of Florida, you didn’t have to pay any income tax on this income.

This new Minnesota tax law changes this. This new law says that regardless of when you collect on that promise of stock options or where you live at the time, that if you were working in Minnesota when that promise was made then you have to pay taxes on it to Minnesota. Other than that I don’t like high taxes nor new taxes, this is legal and legit.

This isn’t just a new law going forward though, this new law says that it’s retroactive. They’re saying that if you were promised some stock options in 1980 when you worked for Dayton’s (remember them?) and you now live in Florida or Paris or London or anywhere, and you collect on that promise - you have to pay taxes back to Minnesota.

There are some practical problems relative to Pawlenty’s New Tax. First is that some corporations who made and keep these promises will be required by the State of Minnesota to withhold taxes correctly according to the new law. Besides considerable confusion over a number of state mandates on this regarding what constitutes having worked in Minnesota and similar issues, many companies will also have to spend considerable money and effort to revamp payroll systems to figure out when to or not withhold tax on someone who may not have even worked for the company for 2 decades.

The second problem is for the retirees. Many made decisions 5, 10, or 20 years ago based on the tax laws in place when they earned their income and when they were made promises by their employers. Many of these may face financial problems having to pay higher taxes than they’d expected. They expected to pay a certain amount of tax based on the laws in place when they earned their money. Now some may find themselves loosing homes or having to make other lifestyle changes because of this.

It’s one thing for the Pawlenty to go back on his No New Taxes pledge and add a new tax for future earnings. That’s bad enough. But for him to add a new tax retroactive to past earnings is slimy.

Even though it seems to me like it would be unconstitutional to place a new tax on old earnings retroactively, I assume that Pawlenty’s folks researched that before passing this to avoid the embarrassment of facing a constitutional challenge. Things are getting smelly.

Friday, June 13, 2008

Unlocked iPhone 3G?

After market failure with their previous marketing efforts, Apple will now be selling the new iPhone 3G through stores the same as other cell phones. EG, Apple sells the phones to ATT, O2, etc, who resells them to you and I along with a service plan. ATT discounts the cost to us of the iPhone (or any other cell phone) based on the revenue they receive on the service plan. The longer the plan we commit to the more they subsidize the hardware purchase. Unlike the previous plan, Apple will no longer share in ATT revenue, they'll just sell them the phones like everyone else.

Unlocked? Possibly. ATT long ago realized that locking phones was of little or no benefit to them and that they were loosing customers who frequently travel outside the US. For some time ATT has had a policy of unlocking phones upon request 30 days after purchase. After all, they already have us locked in to a service plan and unlocking only benefits about 1% of us anyway.

Will they do the same with iPhones?

I'll bet they will. Phone locking was always a cell carrier issue to prevent people from switching providers or in hopes of gaining roaming revenue. Mfr's (except Apple) prefer that they not be locked since locking limits their market. Service plan terms take care of the provider switching and the roaming revenue never materialized as heavy travelers like myself just carry an extra unlocked phone so that we can use our localized SIMs.

My son and a number of other international students hope they get unlocked. They all want iPhones, but Apple's unlock policy prevented them from buying them since the iPhone would effectively be a brick for the months each year they are in a different country than where they purchased them.

Thursday, June 12, 2008

Who do You want to rescue You?

Listening to news reports of Boy Scouts in Iowa springing in to action to save their mates I thought about some of the persecution the Scouts have come under. I also thought about the FLDS kids and many of their parents. If you were hurt and trapped from a tornado who would you want around to rescue you? An average US teen? Boy Scout? Teen from FLDS?

There are some terrific teens in the US who are not Scouts and who are not part of the FLDS, but if I needed rescuing I'd hope for a Scout or one of the teens from the FLDS. How about you?

Wednesday, June 11, 2008

FLDS: When We Get Restraining Orders Against Our Own Government!

A Judge has issued a well deserved restraining order against Texas' CPS. In her order she stated: “I am not going to allow CPS or any other agency to interfere with parents in this state.”

From: http://www.mysanantonio.com/news/metro/stories/MYSA061008.1B.FLDShearing.3899a1c.html

Can't wait to see what the appeals courts says.

Cure Worse Than The Disease?

We are, overall, a law-abiding country. We believe in obeying the laws and we generally seem to believe that people who do not obey our laws should be punished. Punishment is, by the way, the primary way we encourage people to obey laws. Punishment is our ‘cure’ for the ill.

Here is where a law against polygyny runs in to a fundamental problem. We’ll assume for the moment that polygyny is illegal because it causes some kind of harm. Under most state laws the husband in a polygynous relationship is the criminal. The wives and children are usually not. Let’s assume a family of one husband, 3 wives, and 12 children. The husband works and maybe one of the wives works while the other 2 wives take care of the children and home. They are not on welfare, other than polygyny are law-abiding, and their children are healthy, educated, and well-mannered. This scenario is, BTW, fairly typical of polygynous families.

Well, this guy is breaking the law so we have to punish him for it. What are we to do? Throw him in jail? That will sure be of benefit to the family and to society. Order him to leave 2 of his wives? That works well. Make him pay a fine? Remove the wives and kids from their home? Even community service creates the problem of taking a father away from his children while at the same time communicating to them that according to society their father is a criminal. We’ve either harmed their relationship with their parents or their relationship with society. And to what end?

Just how much harm is caused by polygyny itself that we apparently believe is so atrocious that we are willing to cause these other harms?

Saturday, June 7, 2008

FLDS: What About The Other Kids ?

When Texas tossed over 400 FLDS kids in to the foster care system, what happened to other kids already in the system? Was there ample room in the system to absorb such a huge influx without impacting others? What happened to kids who were displaced to make room for the FLDS kids? What impact did this have on them?

Friday, June 6, 2008

Problems for Texas' Prosecutions?

The State of Texas faces numerous potential hurdles in their presumed upcoming prosecutions. They will likely file statutory rape charges against any men in the FLDS they suspect of having had sex with girls younger than the age of consent and I would expect a variety of ancillary charges of sexual abuse, molestation, kidnapping, etc. Defendants will likely claim that they were married to the girl and therefore the sexual relationship was not illegal. If the marriage was celestial and no state marriage license had been issued then the defendant will likely claim that they could not obtain the license because of Texas laws against polygamy, that these laws are unconstitutional, and that they could not even apply for a license due to fears of religious persecution.

NOTE: Sexual abuse is a horrendous crime and anyone guilty of it should be prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law. The question in this case though is if it is sexual abuse when two people are married and everyone including the bride, groom, and parents are supportive of the arrangement. We must also remember that the marital lifestyle of the FLDS is actually more in line with historical practice and Biblical practice than even our wished for monogamy. EG, leaving aside our love of divorce, serial monogamy, casual sex, uncommitted polygamy, single-parent households, etc.

This case may also have implications far beyond Texas. It involves issues that could be very significant for every person in the US with regard to privacy. When may law enforcement or other government authorities enter a private home? What constitutes reasonable suspicion upon which to base a search warrant? Will this give law enforcement the ability to obtain a search warrant for any home in the US with a pregnant woman in it simply by saying that they believe the pregnant woman to be underage? To what extent can law enforcement rely on anonymous calls to intrude on citizens privacy without verifying the identity of the caller and the veracity of their story? What rights do state authorities have to remove children from parents and what level of abuse must be provable? What danger are any of us in from authorities acting on anonymous calls or other dubious tips in taking actions such as entering homes, conducting searches, or removing children?

Let’s look at some of the potential problems of this case.

Validity of First Search Warrant – This warrant was issued to search for an anonymous 16-year-old. There are questions about it’s overall validity and of the admissibility of evidence. Did authorities have any suspicion that the call was a hoax? How long did law enforcement wait from when they first learned of the caller and when they obtained a search warrant and entered the ranch to search for her? If they believed this girl were in imminent danger should they not have obtained a warrant and gone to YFZ immediately? What efforts were made to determine where in YFZ ranch she was located, which house was she in? During the time they waited did authorities make any effort to verify the identity of the caller such as tracing where phone calls originated or to verify her story in any way?

Validity of Second Search Warrant and Evidence – This warrant for an in-depth search for evidence of widespread sexual abuse is based on suspicions from the first warrant including; female hairs on an unmade bed in the temple, a 15yo who said that a 16yo was pregnant, an 18yo who had a 10mo baby with her 33yo husband, an 18yo who had a 1yo child with her 36yo husband, a 19yo who has a 1yo and 2yo, a 16yo with no children who is married to a 40yo, a 16yo who is currently pregnant, testimony of an 8yo who said a 16yo has 4 children, a confidential informant who said that beds in the temple are used for sex with underage girls, and a document seized during the first search indicating numerous marriages but no divorces thus leading to suspicion of polygyny.

The Reality Element: While 5 teen pregnancies in a population of over 700 people might seem high to those few privileged folks in the nicer suburbs of America, it’s actually a normal number for many neighborhoods and rather low for the average inner-city neighborhood.

With the exception of the supposed 16yo with 4 children all of these would likely be legal within a marriage. So, if the girls under 18 were not married then their husbands may be guilty of statutory rape, if they are married and to multiple women then they are guilty of bigamy.

The Absurdity Element: If only the FLDS had followed our socially acceptable practice of serial divorce and each man had divorced each wife before marrying the next they’d all be OK. No bigamy, no statutory rape. But stick around as a husband and help raise the kids and we’ll take your kids.

With this warrant signed Texas authorities entered the ranch at 2am, began an in-depth search, and removed every child under 18 as well as a number who claimed to be adults but who authorities suspected of being under 18.

Some potential problems:

- If any part of the first warrant is proven invalid then much or all of this second warrant may be in jeopardy.

- At least 26 of the 31 girls Texas authorities said were underage mothers or pregnant turned out to be adults. One of these was at least 27. There are serious questions about the status of at least 4 of the remaining 5. Is it reasonable that every time someone sees a pregnant girl whom they believe to be underage that an investigation ensue? Given that Texas authorities were wrong at least 84% of the time with underage identification does that leave sufficient reasonable suspicion to uphold the second warrant? How believable must reasonable suspicion be before a search warrant is issued? To what extent can law enforcement fabricate a ‘reasonable belief’ just to obtain a warrant for a witch hunt?

- Were searches of individual homes legal without individual search warrants for each? Can authorities obtain a blanket search warrant for an entire 200 unit apartment complex and every individual apartment within it based on a belief that 5 underage girls may be pregnant? Any evidence seized from individual homes may not be admissible.

- Is there any proof of premeditation on the part of the authorities to obtain this warrant prior to the first warrant being issued? Was the initial warrant simply an excuse to get on the YFZ ranch for a witch hunt?

- There is a significant credibility gap with Texas authorities having proven wrong on numerous occasions and FLDS members not being proven wrong on any occasions. Attorneys are sure to raise this with any court testimony.

- Will ‘victims’ testify? Any girl who is willingly married to her husband will likely be reluctant to testify against him with regard to any charges and without victim testimony a conviction of any sort may be difficult.

Constitutionality of Texas Change in Marriage Age – Prior to the FLDS establishing YFZ the State of Texas issued over 800 legal marriage licenses per year for girls under the age of 16 to marry and often to men twice their age. State Rep Harvey Hilderbran, who sponsored legislation in 2005 to raise the age of marriage from 14 to 16 appears to be on the record as stating that he did so specifically because of the FLDS presence. This could raise serious concerns over religious persecution as well as challenge the constitutionality of the change in age.

This could have far reaching impact. The first search warrant was based on an adult having sex with a 15-year-old girl whom he was supposedly married to and on the warrant states that it is illegal for a 15-year-old to marry. This law being declared unconstitutional could throw water on the first search warrant. This will, I believe, directly invalidate any cases based on girls marrying between the ages of 13 and 16. Finally, this could be one major element in establishing a pattern of religious persecution that can not only be used as a partial defense of not having applied for marriage licenses but also in future lawsuits against the State of Texas.

Constitutionality of Polygamy Laws – Is a prohibition on bigamy, polygamy or polygyny constitutional? The US Supreme Court has already ruled against Texas with regard to Sodomy laws in Lawrence v Texas and in his dissent of that opinion Justice Scalia raised the very issue that this opens up the potential that a prohibition of bigamy, like sodomy, is not a legitimate state interest and thus a prohibition of bigamy is unconstitutional.

Given the vast problems in our ‘monogamous’ society of serial monogamy, serial divorce, teen sex, teen pregnancies, HIV/AIDS/STD outbreaks, single-parent welfare homes, and crimes committed by children raised in single-parent homes, the State of Texas may have an extremely difficult time arguing that there is a legitimate state interest in prohibiting a polygynous arrangement where none of these problems appears to exist.

The upshot of it all. Could the FLDS be more cunning than we ever imagined? Within months of SCOTUS’ decision in Lawrence v Texas the FLDS were setting up shop in Texas. My guess is that we may find that the FLDS were careful within the State of Texas not to violate any laws except polygyny and that they’ve been conducting themselves in a way to force the State of Texas to defend their prohibition on bigamy as a legitimate state interest in order to prosecute the FLDS for anything.

Stay tuned, this will get interesting.

Monday, June 2, 2008

FLDS: Good day and bad day...

It is truly great news that the FLDS children will be returning to their parents! It is sad and angering that the parents were held hostage by their own government in order to get their children back. Sign an agreement to abrogate their own civil rights or don't get their children back. Talk about choice...

After what the Sheriff claimed was 4 years of investigation with an inside informant, over 2 months of intense investigation after the raid, search, and confiscation of materials from the ranch, and after over 2 months of questioning of children, often without their parents or an appropriate legal guardian present, there is zero evidence of abuse of any kind for the vast majority of the families. In only 2 families is there any evidence of any kind of abuse and that evidence is shaky.

What we do have evidence of is a lot of lying by Texas authorities regarding what evidence they had, how many underage children were pregnant or had already born children, ...

More later...

Sunday, June 1, 2008

Saturday, May 31, 2008

Original FLDS warrant denied?

According to a story here, the original request for a warrant was denied due to insufficient evidence. Some quick searching on Judge Johnny Griffin reveals that he has taken a moderate approach towards the FLDS even as his apparent friend, Schleicher County Sheriff David Doran, was getting antsy about them.

Editors!

Cops going off half cocked !

Only in Minnesota. Well, unfortunately not. Seems some local cops decided to do some celebrating with their service revolvers. It's good to know we're making some strong efforts to hire people with good character to be cops. These neighbors were far more charitable than I think I would have been.

http://www.startribune.com/local/19417229.html

Monday, May 26, 2008

FLDS: Pots and Kettles and Who's Calling Who What?

A couple of years ago I met individually with a number of child welfare workers for some research. These are the people who decide if a child should be removed from a home, who write up recommendations for the court regarding the child’s future, who work with parents on creating a better home environment, and who inform courts if parents are fit to be parents or not. One thing that really struck me was the family life of these folks themselves. One very interesting thing that struck me was that those married with children were outnumbered by those single with children. Single because they were either divorced or had never even married the other parent. And these are the people telling others how to create a good home?

This was not even remotely scientific, but it would be interesting, if someone hasn’t already, to study this issue and find out just who we are relying on to determine who is fit to be a parent. Maybe next year.

As an old song says “If you can’t even run your own life, I’ll be damned if you’ll run mine.”

On a related note, just who is the state saying is or is not a fit parent? Apparently Texas’ CPS is OK with a polygynous relationship where some guy makes a baby with a teen girl and then runs off. There are some pretty reliable statistics to indicate that this kid is extremely likely to become a teen mom or dad themselves (and they are also likely to become a criminal). I can’t find any records of CPS raiding these homes, even though there are thousands more of them throughout the state. Even when CPS does get involved in these it’s rare that they remove children from the home. Yet, in a polygynous relationship where dad sticks around to help raise all of his kids and where evidence indicates that extremely few, if any, will turn out to be criminals, CPS deems it necessary to confiscate the kids.

FLDS: Texas Authorities Snake Bit?

I’ve found it rather interesting that the topic of polygyny has not been mentioned in any of the service plans or, to the best of my knowledge, in any of the custody hearings. There is certainly the possibility that CPS, given the vagueness of the service plans, intends to make it a part of each individual case. Perhaps as part of a ‘safe home environment’.

Another possibility though is that the State of Texas may be snake bit after their disagreement with Mr. Lawrence and his partner. Might they be thinking that going after the polygynists for polygyny in a legal court could wind up with a prohibition on polygyny being declared unconstitutional? Lawrence vs Texas certainly establishes a stage for that. In fact Justice Scalia, in his dissent made this point specifically. Stay tuned.

Airlines: We're all treated fairly?

Recently I’ve been doing a good amount of flying, much of it back and forth across the Atlantic. As I checked in for a flight yesterday I was charged for excess baggage weight. I knew that I would be and for the most part I’m fine with it. It’s a reasonable charge. Extra weight causes a plane to burn extra fuel and reduces the amount of revenue they can earn carrying other packages. This is simply the cost for me of some of the extra stuff I’ve had to carry.

Checking in ahead of me was a woman who weighed at least 250 lbs and likely over 300. From the looks of it her luggage was right at the 50 lb max as well. She was not charged for any extra weight. I weigh 160 lbs and had a 62 lb bag. Even without her luggage she weighed considerably more than me and my luggage. While this has never seemed fair, I’ve had more pressing issues than to worry about it too much.

Guess who was sitting in the seat next to me on the flight? Guess who couldn’t fit in just her own seat but flowed over in to my space? This wasn’t the first time I’ve had someone flow over in to my seat and on most airlines the flight attendants are sympathetic and try to make arrangements that will be more comfortable for both. Unfortunately this was a completely full flight so there was nothing they could do though one did apologize to me. The good news was that it was only a 1 hour flight and not 9 hours.

I paid more to fly less weight than she did to fly more weight and I got considerably less seat room than she did as well.

Tuesday, May 20, 2008

FLDS: Texas CPS !!

A quick cursory look through some statutory rape cases in Texas seems to indicate a pattern of going only after racial or religious minorities. Prior to the potential charges of statutory rape against the men in the FLDS compound, the State of Texas appears to have previously concentrated on African Americans. Either the Texas Authorities have a prejudice problem or whites in Texas don't commit statutory rape. If anyone has any better information on this issue, for or against, please stop by my office.

Also, for anyone not already concerned about the power of government intrusion I invite you to read a novel. "Custody of the State" is by Craig Parshall. Craig btw is the husband of Janet Parshall of Janet Parshall's America radio program. They are both great people and I highly recommend Janet's radio show.

Tuesday, May 13, 2008

FLDS: Where'd the boys go?

The FLDS site now includes a chart of the gender and ages of those taken in the raid.

http://www.captivefldschildren.org/Counts.php

Since this represents all of the children (or supposed children) in the YFZ ranch it is interesting to note the relative numbers of males and females. In the younger generation there are slightly more males, but in the teens there is an abnormally low number of males to the number of females than can realistically be explained by natural childbirth. What happened to the males? More lost boys?

What a week.

Last Sunday a friend’s parents were in an auto accident and her mom was killed. I don’t usually refer to a crash as an accident, but this one appears to have been. Having researched a number of crashes and talked to many highway patrol, county sheriffs, and city cops it is clear that the vast majority of crashes are not accidents – they are caused by driver inattention. They are not caused by speeding. They are not caused by mechanical failures of the vehicle. They are caused by inattention. A crash caused by inattention is NOT an accident. Some of these weren’t paying attention because they were drunk, most though were not drunk. They were simply stupid. They were stone cold sober but not paying attention to what they were doing.

Back to my friend. Her parents were friends of mine as well and it obviously came as a shock to a large number of us. Something that was really interesting to me is that over the past week it was my friend’s husband who seemed the most shook up. My friend’s dad was clearly sad, but handling things as well as can be expected. They’d been married for 37 years and were just beginning their retirement. They truly loved being together and had looked forward to an active retirement. My friend was sad over the loss of her mother and the grandmother of her 3 young children but she was mostly concerned about her dad and how he would manage. My friend’s husband? He was about as close to his mother-in-law as anyone I’ve ever known and while he was sad about loosing her, he too was concerned about his father-in-law but he was also hugely concerned about his wife and about his children’s loss of their grandmother. Just an interesting observation.

The saddest sight of the week for me was my friend’s father sitting by the coffin saying his final good-bye to his wife before they closed it for the funeral. I’ve never been one to get very choked up about things, but that sight got me.

Thursday, May 1, 2008

Bad days for vice

Today came word that J. Palfrey, the DC Madam, appears to have committed suicide after being found guilty, not of prostitution, but of using the mail service to, well, mail things. Had the money she mailed been earned making porn films or telling old folks that they needed to send in $50 for a bottle of miracle water all would have been fine, but since the money was believed (she was never convicted of prostitution) to have come from prostitution (of consensual adults), well... Hers is the second apparent suicide from this same investigation as a woman who worked for her and was also a University professor apparently killed herself as well when her extra job was revealed.

Conspiracy theorists waisted no time claiming that Palfrey had not committed suicide but was killed to keep her from revealing names as part of a sentencing plea deal. She had over 15,000 customers in a 10 year period and many are believed to be fairly high ranking government and related folk.



This follows by a day the story of Susan LaFevre who, when she was 19 in 1974, got busted for Heroin and was sentenced to 10-20 years. This after she'd been told a guilty plea would likely result in 1 year probation since this was her first offense. Well, after a year in jail she managed to escape, moved to California, reformed her life, and over the past 32 years got married and had a number of children. By all accounts she did reform herself and has led a production life ever since. The authorities are saying that she now needs to serve at least 9 years of her original sentence though may get a few more tacked on for her little escape. Is this the best thing for society or her children?

Tuesday, April 29, 2008

FLDS: Truth in Advertising

Some things just don’t smell right. Today the FLDS website (http://www.fldstruth.org) began filling in their Q&A section. This included:

Q: Are women forced into marriage?

A: No. The young girls are taught all their lives that marriage is a sacred choice that they must make. They are taught to keep their bodies covered and live a life of cleanliness and purity according to the teachings of our Savior.

I don’t doubt that this is a truthful answer, but is it an honest answer? Is this truly a choice? Is a girl completely free to say that she doesn’t want to marry some guy who’s been chosen for her? Is the choice really one between marrying the chosen groom or being put out of the community and separated from family and everyone they’ve ever known for the rest of their life? Technically that’s a choice, just not much of one. Are girls taught all their lives that when the time comes they MUST make the choice that is given them? Are they taught all of their lives that if they don’t ‘make the choice’ to marry the chosen groom that they will spend eternity in hell?

Q: Even if a young woman had the desire to leave the ranch, would she be allowed to leave with all her children?

A: If any one in our communities desire to leave, there is no one that will stand in the way. We have had women who have decided to leave that have taken their children. We have had women who have decided to leave their children with their loving fathers and the mothers who wanted to stay with him. We are taught to think for ourselves and make our own choices.

As above, are there caveats to ‘free to leave’? Is it perhaps free to leave, but if they do they will never see their family again, they will never see any of the only people they’ve ever known in their lives again? What kind of choice is that? And though the official position may be that people are free to leave, how many individuals might act differently? What might an individual husband do if his wife takes off with their kids? In what ways will he threaten her?

Now, to put all of this in a bit of perspective. For most people who grew up prior to the 20th century, including all of those in our Christian Bible, the choices offered within the FLDS were likely the norm. Parents chose spouses for their children; sometimes purely on their own, sometimes with input from a tribal or other spiritual leader, sometimes with input from the bride and groom, sometimes without. This doesn’t necessarily make it right or wrong, but the FLDS is far from an aberration.

Also, given all of the problems in our society, I can certainly understand a group wanting to stay as separate from it as possible. On more than a few occasions I’ve thought how nice it would be to gather together a bunch of like-minded folks and form our own community. A community where we have similar beliefs with regard to how we raise our children and what we teach them about drugs, sex, personal and corporate responsibility, obesity, integrity, and a host of other issues.

I can also understand people wanting to choose a spouse for their daughter (or son). I haven’t been through having a child marry yet, but many of my friends have and many of us have seen disaster waiting at the alter. There is an abundance of wisdom and insight that is gained after years of marriage that younger folks simply do not have. The groom is an absolute dream romantically, is good looking, and is overall a nice guy. But, he has the work ethic and morals of a noodle – no disrespect to rigatoni intended.

OK, back on topic. I don’t particularly like being lied to or misled and here I felt misled by the FLDS. I still believe that based on what we know so far that the Texas Authorities were wrong in their response. I still believe that they way over-reacted. I still believe that it would have been much better to have not removed anyone from the YFZ ranch but instead to have begun an investigation and removed only those people who had clearly violated the law or who were clearly in danger of real abuse.

As much as we in America like things to be black and white, as much as we like everything to come down to good guys and bad guys, that’s not always the case. In this one both sides appear to have their issues.